In late July 2019 whilst discussing global trends and movements in financial markets with a friend, I made a prediction that the next Global Financial Crisis was just about to commence.
That prediction was long before anyone outside of science laboratories had begun to talk about coronavirus or COVID-19 as the WHO has named it recently.
COVID-19 up close and personal
Now, we see the virus spreading around the globe, and despite China’s efforts to contain the infection by locking down the country, state by state, city by city, business by business, and home by home, as well as imposing stricter health, hygiene and quarantine laws, the spread is not contained. The rapid spread across the world has been helped by efficient transportation networks, from airlines, railways and shipping routes. It is almost impossible to shut these down without causing mass starvation and an ever more dire situation in terms of health and security.
Last updated: February 25, 2020, 02:50 GMT the numbers tell only a partial story.
Coronavirus Cases: 80,150,
Official Recorded Deaths: 2,701,
Officially Considered Recovered: 27,596
Reference: Worldometer
Wuhan – COVID-19 begins to spread.
Western Markets Monday, 24th February 2020
The world is being rocked to its core and people are yet to realise the full impact on their lives; global supply chains, manufacturing, financial markets, logistics, and every aspect of business and life will be affected.
The time has now come to take every precaution you can to live to stay alive and safe… to be continued… keep reading, keep learning, and keep sharing …
Follow the Event Horizon – COVID-19 link to see modelling on the spread of COVID-19
The computational model estimates the
- Relative import risk
- Most probable spreading routes
- Relative arrival time
for airports, countries, and continental regions worldwide, and dives into further details with sections on Relative import risk, Most probable spreading routes, Effective distance and expected arrival time.
An interactive visualization of the most probable routes and effective distances is offered in the Route Analysis & Effective Distance section.
References & resources
- Current case numbers: Johns Hopkins CSSE Dashboard
- WHO – Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports
- The Hidden Geometry of Complex, Network-Driven Contagion Phenomena, D. Brockmann & D. Helbing, Science: 342, 1337-1342 (2013)
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